Ecarx Holdings Class Stock Performance

ECX Stock   1.56  0.11  6.59%   
The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.85, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ECARX Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, ECARX Holdings Class has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to confirm ECARX Holdings' potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if ECARX Holdings Class performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ECARX Holdings Class has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:1
Last Split Date
2022-12-21
1
ECARX Shares Down 4.9 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/02/2026
2
ECARX Holdings Inc. Announces US45.6 million Strategic Investment from Geely Holding Group
01/12/2026
3
ECARX Stock Price Up 8.7 percent - Should You Buy - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
4
ECARX Shares Gap Up - Still a Buy - MarketBeat
01/29/2026
5
11 Best Stocks Under 3 to Buy Right Now - Insider Monkey
02/05/2026
6
ECARX Announces Completion of the Final Tranche of US100 million Convertible Notes
02/10/2026
7
ECARX Holdings GAAP EPS of 0.01, revenue of 304.7M
02/12/2026
8
ECARX Holdings, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
02/13/2026
9
ECARX Trading Down 6.3 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat
02/18/2026

ECARX Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  179.00  in ECARX Holdings Class on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (23.00) from holding ECARX Holdings Class or give up 12.85% of portfolio value over 90 days. ECARX Holdings Class is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 4.806% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 43% of stocks are less volatile than ECARX, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ECARX Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.

ECARX Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ECARX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.56 90 days 1.56 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ECARX Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This ECARX Holdings Class probability density function shows the probability of ECARX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.85 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ECARX Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally ECARX Holdings Class has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ECARX Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ECARX Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECARX Holdings Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ECARX Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.566.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.086.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.636.46
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.423.764.18
Details

ECARX Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ECARX Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ECARX Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ECARX Holdings Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ECARX Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

ECARX Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ECARX Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ECARX Holdings Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ECARX Holdings Class generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ECARX Holdings Class may become a speculative penny stock
ECARX Holdings Class has high historical volatility and very poor performance
ECARX Holdings Class has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.93 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (461.54 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 161.3 M.
ECARX Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: ECARX Trading Down 6.3 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat

ECARX Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ECARX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ECARX Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ECARX Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding338.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments827.3 M
Shares Float87.1 M

ECARX Holdings Fundamentals Growth

ECARX Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ECARX Holdings, and ECARX Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ECARX Stock performance.

About ECARX Holdings Performance

Evaluating ECARX Holdings' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if ECARX Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ECARX Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 33.12  31.46 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.11)(0.11)
Return On Capital Employed 0.34  0.36 
Return On Assets(0.10)(0.10)
Return On Equity 0.23  0.39 

Things to note about ECARX Holdings Class performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ECARX Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ECARX Holdings Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ECARX Holdings Class generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ECARX Holdings Class may become a speculative penny stock
ECARX Holdings Class has high historical volatility and very poor performance
ECARX Holdings Class has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.93 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (461.54 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 161.3 M.
ECARX Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: ECARX Trading Down 6.3 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat
Evaluating ECARX Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ECARX Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ECARX Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ECARX Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ECARX Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ECARX Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ECARX Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ECARX Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into ECARX Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ECARX Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ECARX Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for ECARX Stock Analysis

When running ECARX Holdings' price analysis, check to measure ECARX Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ECARX Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of ECARX Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ECARX Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ECARX Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ECARX Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.